
Viral Macroeconomics: Trump, the Fed, and Sentiments
Every time Wall Street takes a rollercoaster ride, someone inevitably evokes the specter of a viral recession. But should we truly fear such recessions? And what role can the Fed play in mitigating this risk? First, what are we talking about? Italian Poet Giovanni Pascoli might describe it as something new–yet ancient. The phenomenon of a viral recession can indeed be characterized as a blend of tradition and innovation. The traditional factor lies in the role of sentiments – or beliefs, or perception – introduced into macroeconomic analysis by John Maynard Keynes as early as 1936. Keynes’s ...