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Geoeconomics: new challenges for the ECB and the Fed
Geoeconomics is an increasingly common perspective in analyses of today’s international economic and political landscape. The recent development of geoeconomics stems from the interplay between economic analysis and political science, shining a light on the international political drivers that help explain economic policy decisions. In truth, this has long been a subject of interest for economic ...
Geoeconomics and protectionism: the harsh law of the hammer
The trajectory of globalization shows that international trade does not follow a linear or irreversible path, but reflects a fragile balance among economic interests, political power, and conflicting ideological visions. After decades of market liberalization and faith in the multilateral institutions born after World War II, today’s global economic order is undergoing profound transformation. The ...
Sustainability under attack: the green challenge between data and disinformation
For years, science has shown that climate change is real and driven by human activity. Recent news confirms that we have already crossed seven out of nine planetary boundaries that keep our planet in balance. Johan Rockström, Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, warns that we are jeopardizing the stability of Earth’s entire life-support system – vital for our prosperity ...
Managing nature’s portfolio: why natural capital really matters
Whether as farmers or fishers, foresters or miners, households or companies, governments or communities, we manage the assets to which we have access, in line with our motivations as best as we can. But the best each of us can achieve with our individual portfolios may nevertheless result in a massive collective failure to manage the global portfolio of all our assets. We are like a crowd of people, ...
Cash and digital money: beware the Stockholm syndrome
The digital euro is a public investment that needs to be made as soon as possible. Europe must maintain both physical and digital euros. The rationale is straightforward: the less public money is used, the greater the risk of becoming hostage to private and foreign monies – often without realizing it, and even inadvertently encouraging them. This is a kind of Stockholm syndrome, and it is precisely ...
Viral Macroeconomics: Trump, the Fed, and Sentiments
Every time Wall Street takes a rollercoaster ride, someone inevitably evokes the specter of a viral recession. But should we truly fear such recessions? And what role can the Fed play in mitigating this risk? First, what are we talking about? Italian Poet Giovanni Pascoli might describe it as something new–yet ancient. The phenomenon of a viral recession can indeed be characterized as a blend of ...
Trump, the Dollar and the Euro
In the wake of Donald Trump's second term as President of the United States, global attention has turned to the future of the dollar and its implications for the world economy. From a short-term economic analysis perspective, the dollar has appreciated, influenced in part by the tariff policies first announced and later implemented by the newly elected president. What does this mean for ...
Human Capital: from Emergency to Priority for the Country’s Future
Human capital represents a key factor for the competitiveness and economic and social development of a country. The main factors that determine the quality and quantity of human capital are represented by the demographic curve, the educational system, research spending and the system of scientific research in general, and the ability of a country to attract quality immigration from the rest of the ...
Banks and Markets: Why They are Tools of Economic Policy
Markets and financial investments play a decisive role in favoring growth, that economic policy choices must permanently encourage. First of all, it is necessary to promote the use of the financial market and investor interventions (private equity, venture capital, PIR, ELTIF) in support of business equity.#Any public interventions in the economy must always have an explicit timeframe and a logic ...
Euro and African Franc Better Together
The analysis of the macroeconomic costs and benefits of the experience of the African franc is much more complex than what the superficial debate in Italy in recent months suggested. The French government's decision to reduce its role will mean that the African countries will have to choose how to continue relations with the euro. The ECB could have an active role in the relations with the African ...