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Stefano Caselli

From Savings to Development: The New Frontier of Growth

With 5.3 trillion euros in financial assets, Italy has the potential to transform its economic future. Overcoming the debt narrative and leveraging these resources for true development is a crucial challenge. Financial education, structural investments, coherent fiscal policies, and new financial products are the pillars on which to build a bridge between savings and the real economy. Opening the ...

Gianmarco Ottaviano

Public Goods Need Europe

There are at least three wrong ideas that need to be cleared up to begin a constructive debate on the role of the European Union at this point in history. The first is that the important decisions in the EU are made in Brussels without any involvement of the Member States. The second is that the decisions made in Brussels have no democratic basis since they are made by bureaucrats not elected by the ...

Stefano Caselli

Capital Markets A Key Asset for Growth

The coming months will be crucial for thinking about how to shape the European Single Market and how to make the European Union competitive with other economies. The values at stake, compared to the size of the United States on the one hand and China on the other, would be enough to justify the reasons for accelerating the path of political integration. This would enable the economic systems of the ...

Gianmarco Ottaviano

Western Sanctions and Russia's Resilience: A Dead End?

According to the Russian Statistical Office, 2023 saw the gross domestic product grow by 3.6%, outpacing the average global economic growth. While data from Moscow should be evaluated cautiously, even the IMF revised its estimate to 3%, suggesting that Russia's economy has indeed grown faster than the global average. The oil and gas industry has been at the forefront of supporting Moscow's economic ...

Gianmarco Ottaviano

Marine and Submarine Routes: the Red Sea and the Future of Global Trade

We tend to think of the global market as a seamless large bazaar where goods from all over the world flow with ease. In reality, it consists of countless bazaars of all sizes, connected by a circular flow of goods. The most important connections are maritime, and they are quite few. For this reason, the attacks on ships off the coast of Yemen raise concerns that may seem exaggerated, considering that ...

Donato Masciandaro

Declining Interest Rates and the Five Faces of the Fed

In recent months, financial markets seem stuck in a repetitive cycle: analysts closely watch US economic indicators to gauge the timing of the Fed's interest rate cuts. This represents the "macroeconomic" face of the Fed. Yet, there are at least four other faces that need attention: the political and bureaucratic ones, followed by the psychological aspect, and not forgetting, albeit last, the financial. Last ...

Sylvie Goulard

Beyond illusions, within limits: business and the sustainability challenge

Since the beginning of the industrial revolution, we have drawn on natural resources as if they were limitless. The air and water, the soil, the fish and the trees, all living things seemed at our disposal. Economic science has long suggested that wealth results from the combination of only two factors of production: capital and labor. As Jean-Baptiste Say wrote in 1803 in his book on Political Economy: ...

Gianmarco Ottaviano

The Oval Office Desk and the Paradoxes of Trump’s Protectionism

In a remake of a film already seen in 2018, President Donald Trump has resumed imposing or threatening to impose tariffs on imports from the United States’ main trading partners. Now, as then, the rationale behind this escalation is twofold. On the one hand, an administration led by a “deal-maker” believes that all trade agreements signed by previous administrations (including his own, as in ...

Donato Masciandaro

Public debt and interest rates: the compass dilemma

Let’s start with the facts. The incoming German government coalition has reached an agreement to increase public spending by 500 billion euros, easing both formal and cultural constraints on spending, deficits, and debt – particularly with regard to defense. Following the announcement, German bond yields rose. But does this market reaction reflect optimism or concern? An empirical analysis applied ...

Stefano Caselli

Rethinking enterprise, reviving Europe

What choices are businesses facing today? How can we, as a School of Management, help businesses, entrepreneurs, and managers, during this unprecedented time? Five years after the pandemic and three years after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, companies are now contending with a storm of tariffs. These tariffs not only jeopardize revenues, but also the very way companies operate in the marketplace. ...